观点:Win10手机要想取代PC,得先兼容X86程序

2016-07-22 10:28IT之家 - 书生

IT之家讯 自Win10 Mobile/PC系统推出以来,两个系统越来越像,无论是UWP平台共享还是相似的磁贴界面,这都暗示着两者隐隐的融合趋势,而外媒编辑Surur就此发文,他认为Win10手机在未来的发展需要兼容X86应用。

Win10 Mobile的市场份额十分之小,在全球大概仅有不到1%的占比。Win10 Mobile凭借UWP平台和Continuum模式,未来在与Win10 PC的配合使用方面更有潜力。许多人认为,Win10 Mobile手机就是PC的另一种形式,惠普Elite X3就是一个很好的例子,借助Continuum模式额能够将手机模式转化到熟悉的PC桌面,进行一定的文件处理。

然而Win10 Mobile手机与PC之间仍有一个重要区别,那就是能否运行X86架构程序,这也是为何Win10 Mobile手机在与安卓和苹果iOS系统竞争时未占上风的重要原因。而Win10 PC上的许多X86程序无法转移到手机平台,这实际上也牵制了PC的发展。

Win10 Mobile手机未来逆袭的关键,就是打破PC与手机之间的这道壁垒。如此一来,不仅企业级市场,消费级市场对Win10 Mobile手机的需求也会激增,因为用户购买的不再是分裂的Win10体验,而是Win10体验的移动延伸。这种体验不仅仅体现在用户需求,甚至将Win10 Mobile手机售价上调也不会吓跑太多的消费者,因为这对于WP手机而言,是一种质的提升。

本文为编译节选,英文全文如下

The Windows 10 Mobile market is pretty small, and possible 1-2 million units per quarter. That’s not just a small segment of the phone market (less than 1%) but also a small fraction of the PC market (less than 2%).

Yet Windows 10 Mobile is much closer to the PC market than the phone market, sharing a common platform, services and with Continuum even user interface.  In fact many are calling Windows 10 Mobile phones just another PC form factor, with devices like the HP Elite X3 being the best example, morphing via accessories from a phone to a laptop to a desktop.

However there is still a hard separation between Windows and Windows 10 Mobile, that being the ability to run legacy x86 apps which is still the main reason Windows has not been replaced by Android or iOS devices.  Windows 10 Mobile does not benefit from any such protection. At the same time Windows PCs suffer from not having a real presence in phones, leading to falling shipments year on year.

The solution is to break down the barriers which separate the two operating systems and really make Windows 10 phones just another place to run Windows, similar to how Windows 10 tablets now run full Windows, vs the failed Windows RT operating system.

With the low-end Windows 10 market more or less decimated, and volume in general really small, and Microsoft targeting the enterprise market in general in any case, the reasons which held back the move are not really relevant any more.

Higher price is no longer a major factor, as Microsoft is targeting the more cost-tolerant enterprise market. Battery life is also much less of an issue, due to the ability to include chunky batteries in these larger, more expensive devices, such as the more than 4000 mAh battery in the HP Elite X3. We expect to charge our laptops every 6-8 hours in any case, with the handset possibly jumping from dock to dock as users move around. Software optimised for the phone form factor will obviously come via UWP apps.

Of course issues remain, such as poorly developed LTE modems for x86 and low power chipsets also being underpowered compared to their equivalent ARM versions. These are issues a bold company may address by designing their own processor, much like Apple and Samsung has done.

The advantage would be massive – the messaging would be crystal clear around Windows phone – you buy one to use as your only device, which can serve all your needs, from phone to desktop PC and all form factors in between. Some apps may work better on a big than a small screen, but all apps are accessible no matter where you are, be they Photoshop or a UWP version of Skype. Microsoft would only work on one version of the OS, not one and a half. Sales may even grow from 1 million to 3 million, boosting the PC market, and if a user really wanted Pokemon Go they could run Bluestacks.

In summary, with Windows 10 Mobile sales now so low that Microsoft is not even giving any sales numbers any more, its time for Microsoft to exit the smartphone market and to reboot the OS by making it simply another Windows 10 form factor. At this point Microsoft simply nothing to lose and quite a lot to gain.

Would our readers be prepared to pay $600 for their next Windows Phone if it ran on a Core M processor and let you replace your current laptop? I know I would.

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